Trigger Happy 2 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6850fa13]
🛡️ TRIGGERHAPPY2 RUNEUSDT 45M 04.06
@fikar
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-11 00:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.59
- Sortino Ratio: 2.41
- Calmar: -0.59
- Longest DD Days: 58.00
- Volatility: 18.90
- Skew: -0.20
- Kurtosis: 4.77
- Expected Daily: 0.11
- Expected Monthly: 2.37
- Expected Yearly: 32.46
- Kelly Criterion: 12.04
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.83
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.08
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 01:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 277
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 184
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.59
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.25
- Payoff Ratio: 0.84
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.25
- Tail Ratio: 1.09
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.38
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.79
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 1.91
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 6143.02% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 15.8% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.586 |
Profit Factor | 1.264 |
Maximum Drawdown | 49.12% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 18.9% |
The strategy shows a remarkable cumulative return of 6143.02% since inception, which is commendable. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.586 is above the industry good benchmark of 0.5 for crypto assets, indicating solid risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.264 implies the strategy generates more profits than losses over time, although this could be improved for greater effectiveness. One area of concern is the maximum drawdown of 49.12%, which exceeds the desired threshold of 40%, suggesting potential for risk exposure during adverse periods.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy holds potential for real-world application, depending on strategic adjustments to risk management practices. The satisfactory Sharpe Ratio and profitable win rate of 60.09% are strengths. However, attention should be paid to drawdowns that can have a substantial impact in volatile markets, like crypto. It’s crucial to analyze conditions where this strategy excels and gauge their sustainability moving forward.
Risk Management
The report highlights areas for refinement within the strategy's risk management framework. While there have been no margin calls — a positive indicator — managing drawdowns remains a priority. Suggestions to fortify risk management include:
- Reducing leverage to lower maximum drawdown potential and enhance stability.
- Integrating stricter stop-loss orders to curtail large unexpected losses.
- Incorporating volatility management to better control exposure during highly volatile periods.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s overall performance and resilience, consider the following recommendations:
- Implement parameter optimization to balance risk and return efficiency while reducing drawdowns.
- Explore additional technical indicators to refine trade execution and timing.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing to ensure strategy effectiveness across variable market dynamics.
- Evaluate advanced risk management methods such as VaR and stress testing to identify and manage potential risk scenarios.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy demonstrates notable performance capabilities with a high cumulative return and positive risk-adjusted metrics. Addressing the elevated drawdown figures is vital to curbing risk and enhancing long-term sustainability. By optimizing, testing, and refining the current approach, the strategy can become more robust in accommodating diverse market conditions.
Recommendation: Move forward with additional optimization and rigorous testing of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements, particularly in risk management, to capitalize on potential gains while safeguarding against market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.63% |
2022 | -10.91% | 9.28% | 49.05% | 48.29% | 1.27% | 18.30% | 25.76% | 11.55% | -2.85% | 0.00% | 1.23% | 8.51% |
2023 | 19.90% | -7.05% | 20.17% | -1.36% | 7.26% | 2.63% | 1.63% | 35.13% | 18.57% | 54.69% | 27.35% | 0.01% |
2024 | 9.64% | 31.79% | 53.53% | 11.59% | 24.59% | -3.02% | -0.46% | 25.39% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
101
Number of Trades
-21.76%
Cumulative Returns
53.47%
Win Rate
2024-06-04
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-18.68%
30 Days
-56.1%
60 Days
-22.57%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -1877.4 | -2.16 | ||||
Net Profit | 85759.44 | 8575.94 | 54805.05 | 5480.51 | 30954.39 | 3095.44 |
Gross Profit | 137505.77 | 13750.58 | 79147.75 | 7914.78 | 58358.02 | 5835.8 |
Gross Loss | 51746.33 | 5174.63 | 24342.7 | 2434.27 | 27403.63 | 2740.36 |
Commission Paid | 3307.69 | 1164.32 | 2143.37 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -175.8 | -17.58 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 86179.14 | 99.0 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 8345.36 | 23.9 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 14556.0 | 12143.0 | 14556.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 361.0 | 162.0 | 199.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 224.0 | 94.0 | 130.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 137.0 | 68.0 | 69.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 62.05 | 58.02 | 65.33 | |||
Avg P&l | 237.56 | 1.56 | 338.3 | 2.4 | 155.55 | 0.87 |
Avg Winning Trade | 613.87 | 5.73 | 842.0 | 7.95 | 448.91 | 4.13 |
Avg Losing Trade | 377.71 | 5.27 | 357.98 | 5.27 | 397.15 | 5.27 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.625 | 2.352 | 1.13 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 6391.83 | 6391.83 | 4651.63 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 14.17 | 14.17 | 7.81 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 5242.86 | 2637.08 | 5242.86 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 11.44 | 10.95 | 11.44 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 43.0 | 51.0 | 38.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 42.0 | 48.0 | 38.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 46.0 | 54.0 | 37.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.794 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 6.373 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.657 | 3.251 | 2.13 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 412.86 | 0.66 | ||||
Net Profit | 61430.17 | 6143.02 | 42443.41 | 4244.34 | 18986.76 | 1898.68 |
Gross Profit | 294096.22 | 29409.62 | 147871.86 | 14787.19 | 146224.36 | 14622.44 |
Gross Loss | 232666.05 | 23266.6 | 105428.45 | 10542.85 | 127237.6 | 12723.76 |
Commission Paid | 7734.15 | 3048.14 | 4686.01 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -827.63 | -82.76 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 127433.78 | 99.32 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 59752.45 | 49.12 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 63486.0 | 63486.0 | 37850.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 461.0 | 202.0 | 259.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 277.0 | 109.0 | 168.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 184.0 | 93.0 | 91.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.09 | 53.96 | 64.86 | |||
Avg P&l | 133.25 | 1.19 | 210.12 | 1.81 | 73.31 | 0.7 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1061.72 | 5.69 | 1356.62 | 7.91 | 870.38 | 4.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1264.49 | 5.59 | 1133.64 | 5.34 | 1398.22 | 5.85 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.84 | 1.197 | 0.622 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 9390.98 | 9390.98 | 5861.27 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 14.17 | 14.17 | 7.81 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 10482.5 | 6821.71 | 10482.5 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 11.89 | 10.95 | 11.89 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 43.0 | 51.0 | 38.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 42.0 | 51.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 45.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.585 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.407 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.264 | 1.403 | 1.149 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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