MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2d07a399]
🛡️ MACDLIQUIDITYSPECTRUM SOLUSDT 45M 14.07
@acosta0946
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-19 14:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.52
- Sortino Ratio: 2.37
- Calmar: -0.47
- Longest DD Days: 85.00
- Volatility: 58.59
- Skew: -0.05
- Kurtosis: 1.58
- Expected Daily: 0.34
- Expected Monthly: 7.36
- Expected Yearly: 134.39
- Kelly Criterion: 7.51
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.84
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.27
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 01:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 190
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 148
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.47
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
- Payoff Ratio: 0.89
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
- Tail Ratio: 1.21
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.42
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 7.42
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.21
- Serenity Index: 1.21
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the strategy presents several important performance metrics:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit | 46068.87% |
CAGR (Annualized Return) | 26.69% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.511 |
Profit Factor | 1.129 |
Maximum Drawdown | 75.88% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 58.59% |
Percent Profitable | 56.08% |
The strategy achieves solid performance in terms of net profits, showing a substantial 46068.87% return. The Sharpe Ratio sits at 0.511, indicating reasonable risk-adjusted returns given the crypto context. However, the max drawdown of 75.88% is a concern and points to potential risk management issues, though it showcases a strong ability to recover considering the high returns.
Strategy Viability
While the strategy demonstrates impressive net returns and a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5, the high maximum drawdown of 75.88% is certainly a red flag in terms of risk. This suggests periods of considerable volatility and potential loss. However, considering the crypto market's inherent volatility, it's quite possible the strategy thrives in volatile conditions. Nevertheless, it's critical to assess whether these market conditions are sustainable and to compare the strategy's performance against similar high-risk strategies.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management could be improved significantly. Key areas include:
- Leverage Management: Reducing leverage could help decrease the maximum drawdown impact.
- Position Sizing: Implementing more sophisticated position-sizing algorithms can help adjust exposure based on volatility, potentially mitigating drawdowns.
- Stop-Loss Mechanisms: Introducing tighter or dynamic stop-loss levels to limit losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's robustness and decrease risk, the following measures are recommended:
- Reduce leverage to control drawdowns and maintain account stability.
- Incorporate volatility indicators to refine entries and exits, enhancing the Profit Factor.
- Conduct walk-forward testing to ensure adaptability to changing market conditions.
- Integrate advanced risk management frameworks, including adaptive position sizing and improved stop-loss strategies.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy showcases excellent profit potential with a commendable Sharpe Ratio for cryptocurrency markets. Nevertheless, the significant maximum drawdown presents a critical opportunity for enhancement. While its risk management requires fortification, the strategy's strengths are notable, suggesting a promising base for further development.
Recommendation: Proceed with caution. Implement the proposed improvements in risk management, leverage usage, and strategy optimization. Continual testing is vital to ensuring sustained performance in diverse market environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 27.98% | 119.75% | 30.13% | -5.64% | 0.02% | 17.00% |
2022 | -3.48% | 20.74% | 30.18% | 43.76% | 19.21% | 3.30% | 27.56% | -21.17% | 5.80% | 25.01% | 24.86% | 15.94% |
2023 | 21.26% | 4.00% | 48.83% | 27.92% | 5.01% | 16.24% | 46.75% | 22.35% | 31.76% | 52.71% | 16.83% | 64.85% |
2024 | 12.46% | 13.32% | 46.23% | 28.56% | -8.99% | -7.84% | -13.39% | -3.46% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
SOL
Base Currency
66
Number of Trades
-35.03%
Cumulative Returns
43.94%
Win Rate
2024-07-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
15.24%
30 Days
84.24%
60 Days
10.18%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 279161.89 | 93053.96 | 177460.16 | 59153.39 | 101701.73 | 33900.58 |
Gross Profit | 795899.17 | 265299.72 | 428256.31 | 142752.1 | 367642.86 | 122547.62 |
Gross Loss | 516737.28 | 172245.76 | 250796.15 | 83598.72 | 265941.13 | 88647.04 |
Commission Paid | 20816.37 | 9271.89 | 11544.48 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1363.48 | 454.49 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 422830.49 | 99.93 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 118295.25 | 43.33 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 5039.0 | 4454.0 | 5039.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 273.0 | 137.0 | 136.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 161.0 | 82.0 | 79.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 112.0 | 55.0 | 57.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.97 | 59.85 | 58.09 | |||
Avg P&l | 1022.57 | 1.66 | 1295.33 | 2.33 | 747.81 | 0.99 |
Avg Winning Trade | 4943.47 | 5.99 | 5222.64 | 6.99 | 4653.71 | 4.95 |
Avg Losing Trade | 4613.73 | 4.55 | 4559.93 | 4.61 | 4665.63 | 4.5 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.071 | 1.145 | 0.997 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 37893.62 | 37893.62 | 37739.03 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 12.6 | 9.76 | 12.6 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 35236.89 | 35236.89 | 35046.02 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 10.59 | 5.13 | 10.59 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 36.0 | 38.0 | 34.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 39.0 | 42.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 30.0 | 31.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.653 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 4.6 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.54 | 1.708 | 1.382 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -2001.11 | -1.32 | ||||
Net Profit | 151282.81 | 50427.6 | 161744.23 | 53914.74 | -10461.41 | -3487.14 |
Gross Profit | 1221481.43 | 407160.48 | 601805.77 | 200601.92 | 619675.66 | 206558.55 |
Gross Loss | 1070198.61 | 356732.87 | 440061.54 | 146687.18 | 630137.07 | 210045.69 |
Commission Paid | 35930.96 | 15020.79 | 20910.16 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1363.47 | 454.49 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 422830.49 | 99.93 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 301805.37 | 75.88 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 5039.0 | 4454.0 | 5039.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 338.0 | 158.0 | 180.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 190.0 | 91.0 | 99.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 148.0 | 67.0 | 81.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.21 | 57.59 | 55.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 447.58 | 1.29 | 1023.7 | 2.0 | -58.12 | 0.68 |
Avg Winning Trade | 6428.85 | 5.91 | 6613.25 | 6.86 | 6259.35 | 5.04 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7231.07 | 4.63 | 6568.08 | 4.62 | 7779.47 | 4.65 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.889 | 1.007 | 0.805 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 37893.62 | 37893.62 | 37739.03 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 12.6 | 9.76 | 12.6 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 72050.97 | 35236.89 | 72050.97 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 14.45 | 5.13 | 14.45 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 36.0 | 39.0 | 33.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 39.0 | 43.0 | 35.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 32.0 | 34.0 | 31.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.517 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.365 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.141 | 1.368 | 0.983 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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