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Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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mcginley btcusdt 30min

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @A-Dog
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [efb76cff]

🛡️ MCGINLEY BTCUSDT 30MIN

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +4.76% Updated 11 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1129.21%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
76.07%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.37
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1089.14%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
608
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 29, 2020
1,865
Days
608
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 1, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-10-29 16:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.28
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.61
  • Calmar: -0.84
  • Longest DD Days: 190.00
  • Volatility: 98.91
  • Skew: 0.49
  • Kurtosis: 0.39
  • Expected Daily: 0.61
  • Expected Monthly: 13.70
  • Expected Yearly: 366.84
  • Kelly Criterion: 13.42
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.56
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.61
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-01 15:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 304
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 304
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.84
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.37
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
  • Tail Ratio: 1.37
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.41
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.69
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.42
  • Serenity Index: 8.89

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+87.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+95.93%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+229.59%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+237.76%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+793.25%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+4.76%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.66%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+9.63%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+8.40%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+36.83%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
50.0%
Total Trades
608
Cumulative
1,129.21%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
119.11%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-5.39%
-1.70%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+1.61%
Simple P&L
-8.67%
-2.70%
Simple P&L
2021
-1.74%
+0.23%
Simple P&L
+5.47%
+2.52%
Simple P&L
-29.28%
-13.29%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
+0.33%
Simple P&L
-10.64%
-7.21%
Simple P&L
-14.44%
-10.05%
Simple P&L
+6.53%
+6.66%
Simple P&L
-6.25%
-4.34%
Simple P&L
-1.96%
-0.84%
Simple P&L
+3.24%
+9.02%
Simple P&L
+5.94%
+6.31%
Simple P&L
-5.04%
-4.08%
Simple P&L
2022
+6.41%
+2.79%
Simple P&L
+4.59%
+5.52%
Simple P&L
+2.53%
+0.16%
Simple P&L
+5.74%
+6.16%
Simple P&L
+17.69%
+9.08%
Simple P&L
+19.94%
+8.98%
Simple P&L
+73.78%
+20.30%
Simple P&L
-18.19%
-5.05%
Simple P&L
+26.09%
+5.59%
Simple P&L
-21.24%
-4.17%
Simple P&L
-12.78%
-3.74%
Simple P&L
-13.21%
-2.72%
Simple P&L
2023
+17.52%
+4.73%
Simple P&L
+38.85%
+8.28%
Simple P&L
+8.38%
+1.13%
Simple P&L
+55.30%
+7.64%
Simple P&L
-59.88%
-8.35%
Simple P&L
-37.82%
-5.06%
Simple P&L
+16.71%
-0.02%
Simple P&L
-17.01%
-0.93%
Simple P&L
-7.27%
-2.13%
Simple P&L
-5.82%
-0.58%
Simple P&L
-10.54%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
-8.07%
-0.47%
Simple P&L
2024
-16.88%
-2.60%
Simple P&L
-3.33%
-3.16%
Simple P&L
-30.50%
-11.13%
Simple P&L
+24.17%
+10.28%
Simple P&L
+19.32%
+6.10%
Simple P&L
+11.03%
+2.85%
Simple P&L
+42.46%
+8.54%
Simple P&L
+23.05%
+7.13%
Simple P&L
+38.92%
+8.58%
Simple P&L
+7.19%
-0.25%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+2.54%
Simple P&L
-56.19%
-8.86%
Simple P&L
2025
+89.33%
+13.98%
Simple P&L
-30.82%
-2.21%
Simple P&L
+9.63%
+2.50%
Simple P&L
+97.98%
+11.88%
Simple P&L
+78.89%
+6.98%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

608

Number of Trades

1129.21%

Cumulative Returns

50%

Win Rate

2023-10-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

2.66%

30 Days

8.4%

60 Days

9.63%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit40073.4340.078507.638.5131565.8131.57
Gross Profit917734.24917.73389430.14389.43528304.09528.3
Gross Loss877660.8877.66380922.52380.92496738.28496.74
Commission Paid96096.1344709.951386.23
Buy & Hold Return304920.47304.92
Max Contracts Held820675.0820.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration51 days
Avg Equity Run-up44919.7744.92
Max Equity Run-up234639.2288.45
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration74 days
Avg Equity Drawdown55576.0155.58
Max Drawdown125999.6776.07
Total Closed Trades335.0156.0179.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades161.075.086.0
Number Losing Trades174.081.093.0
Percent Profitable48.0648.0848.04
Avg P&l119.620.0954.54-0.02176.350.18
Avg Winning Trade5700.212.065192.41.786143.072.31
Avg Losing Trade5044.031.734702.751.685341.271.79
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.131.1041.15
Largest Winning Trade18212.7616913.7218212.76
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.585.247.58
Largest Losing Trade20128.8515122.5520128.85
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.623.644.62
Avg # Bars In Trades14.013.016.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.011.016.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades15.014.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.126
Sortino Ratio0.245
Profit Factor1.0461.0221.064
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1129214.71129.21309361.38309.36819853.33819.85
Gross Profit4183626.434183.631657329.221657.332526297.212526.3
Gross Loss3054411.733054.411347967.841347.971706443.891706.44
Commission Paid369921.81174894.72195027.09
Buy & Hold Return682877.65682.88
Max Contracts Held1421984.01421.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration37 days
Avg Equity Run-up99791.5399.79
Max Equity Run-up1440027.9997.92
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration59 days
Avg Equity Drawdown86473.1886.47
Max Drawdown376143.1676.07
Total Closed Trades608.0293.0315.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades304.0149.0155.0
Number Losing Trades304.0144.0160.0
Percent Profitable50.050.8549.21
Avg P&l1857.260.21055.840.082602.710.3
Avg Winning Trade13761.932.111123.011.7616298.692.43
Avg Losing Trade10047.411.719360.891.6610665.271.75
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.371.1881.528
Largest Winning Trade232757.161852.87232757.1
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.545.2410.54
Largest Losing Trade129778.1372429.2129778.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.623.644.62
Avg # Bars In Trades15.016.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades15.015.014.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades15.017.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.277
Sortino Ratio0.606
Profit Factor1.371.231.48
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Reviewing the QuantStats report, a variety of metrics provides a nuanced picture of the trading strategy's performance. Here are some key observations:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 712.05%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 63.66%
Sharpe Ratio 0.277
Profit Factor 1.37
Maximum Drawdown -76.07%
Volatility (Annualized) 98.91%

The strategy achieves a notable cumulative return of 712.05% with an annualized return of 63.66%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.277 suggests that the risk-adjusted returns could benefit from improvement, as this is below the acceptable threshold for crypto strategies. Additionally, a maximum drawdown of 76.07% is concerning, indicating high risk exposure that might deter risk-averse investors.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests that while the strategy achieves high returns, its viability for real-world trading is constrained by its high drawdown and low Sharpe Ratio. While it excels in certain market conditions, such as periods of high volatility, its resilience to downturns remains a challenge. It’s essential to pinpoint specific market conditions that maximize the strategy's strengths.

Risk Management

The strategy currently faces significant risks due to the high maximum drawdown and volatility levels. Improving risk management is imperative, with the following considerations:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease the high drawdown risk and potential losses.
  • Enhancing stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms to lock in gains and limit losses.
  • Incorporating volatility targeting to dynamically adjust positions based on market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

Several strategies can be implemented to enhance the strategy's performance and robustness:

  • Optimize leverage ratios to lower drawdown levels while maintaining returns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
  • Conduct a thorough sensitivity analysis to understand the strategy’s performance across different volatility regimes.
  • Test the strategy in a simulated out-of-sample environment to validate its robustness against unexpected market movements.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy exhibits potential with strong return metrics. However, its risk management framework requires significant improvement to address the high drawdown and volatility concerns. While it brings commendable growth, such enhancements will be vital in optimizing its risk-adjusted returns.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications to the strategy's risk management, including lowering leverage and refining position management. Continued testing is advised to ensure the strategy's robustness and adaptability across varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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W L Win/Loss States
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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To copy other members charts, is simple:

  • A new window in TradingView will of opened.
  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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