Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8cba2025]
🛡️ SILENT SURGE BTC 1H @Zalmoksis
CONFIRMATION BASED
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-22 15:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
- Sortino Ratio: 0.75
- Calmar: -0.71
- Longest DD Days: 89.00
- Volatility: 18.42
- Skew: 0.39
- Kurtosis: -0.39
- Expected Daily: 0.10
- Expected Monthly: 2.23
- Expected Yearly: 30.24
- Kelly Criterion: 7.71
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.50
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.93
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-10 17:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 184
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 228
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.71
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.21
- Payoff Ratio: 1.50
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.21
- Tail Ratio: 1.33
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.32
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.27
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 2.03
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
An in-depth examination of the QuantStats report reveals several critical metrics pertinent to evaluating the strategy's performance:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 494.42% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 8.42% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.339 |
Profit Factor | 1.205 |
Maximum Drawdown | 44.1% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 18.42% |
While the strategy shows a respectable cumulative return of 494.42%, it does face challenges with a Sharpe ratio of 0.339, which is below the preferred threshold of 0.5 for crypto strategies. The maximum drawdown of 44.1% exceeds optimal levels, suggesting higher risk exposure. However, the profit factor of 1.205 indicates a moderate level of consistency between gains and losses.
Strategy Viability
The present data suggests that the strategy holds potential but requires further development for real-world trading applications. Its maximum drawdown and suboptimal Sharpe ratio highlight a need for improvement in both risk management and return consistency. These aspects should be addressed to establish the strategy as a plausible competitor in the crypto market space.
Risk Management
Risk management appears to be a crucial area for refinement, given the high maximum drawdown and modest return metrics. To strengthen the strategy in controlling risk, consider the following approaches:
- Employ less leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown and stabilize returns.
- Integrate more rigorous stop-loss protocols to safeguard against unexpected downturns.
- Incorporate volatility-based position sizing to dynamically adjust trade sizes according to market conditions.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance strategy performance and ensure its robustness, the following recommendations can be implemented:
- Optimize key parameters to improve overall risk-adjusted performance and drawdown figures.
- Expand the suite of indicators used for entry and exit signals to enhance decision-making efficacy.
- Perform comprehensive out-of-sample and scenario testing to confirm strategy reliability across diverse market environments.
- Reassess the risk management framework, including advanced techniques like stress testing to reduce exposure during volatile periods.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy showcases a strong foundation with significant cumulative returns; however, it requires enhancement in risk management and return consistency to realize its full potential. Addressing these key areas will be vital to ensuring the strategy's resilience and success in actual trading environments.
Recommendation: Proceed with optimizing and testing the strategy extensively. Incorporate suggested improvements to strengthen robustness and adapt the risk management approach to better handle market volatility. With concerted efforts in these areas, the strategy may become a promising tool in the crypto trading domain.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.50% | -3.94% | -5.48% | 8.22% | -0.74% | 3.47% | 14.74% | 6.07% | 6.53% |
2021 | 9.90% | 15.51% | -11.33% | -14.79% | 14.80% | 8.38% | 4.88% | -1.71% | 2.34% | 25.14% | 7.53% | 11.50% |
2022 | 12.71% | 5.76% | -14.42% | -1.52% | -8.34% | 6.74% | -13.35% | -2.29% | 3.98% | 6.57% | 14.19% | 7.73% |
2023 | 5.27% | -6.67% | 28.97% | 9.18% | -2.73% | 7.96% | 1.89% | -3.61% | -0.63% | 11.01% | 3.49% | 2.12% |
2024 | -12.50% | 29.51% | -5.42% | 5.20% | 8.34% | 3.08% | 0.89% | 4.49% | 4.20% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
103
Number of Trades
5.66%
Cumulative Returns
41.75%
Win Rate
2024-03-10
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-1.86%
30 Days
-9.12%
60 Days
-9.81%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 50269.2 | 502.69 | 38947.2 | 389.47 | 11322.0 | 113.22 |
Gross Profit | 181960.11 | 1819.6 | 104771.03 | 1047.71 | 77189.07 | 771.89 |
Gross Loss | 131690.9 | 1316.91 | 65823.83 | 658.24 | 65867.07 | 658.67 |
Commission Paid | 6823.26 | 3925.06 | 2898.2 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 89619.32 | 896.19 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 54490.9 | 84.71 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 14784.36 | 44.1 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 309.0 | 171.0 | 138.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 141.0 | 86.0 | 55.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 168.0 | 85.0 | 83.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.63 | 50.29 | 39.86 | |||
Avg P&l | 162.68 | 0.56 | 227.76 | 0.73 | 82.04 | 0.35 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1290.5 | 4.7 | 1218.27 | 4.19 | 1403.44 | 5.5 |
Avg Losing Trade | 783.87 | 2.92 | 774.4 | 2.78 | 793.58 | 3.06 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.646 | 1.573 | 1.768 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 5431.57 | 5431.57 | 2777.44 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.74 | 7.73 | 7.74 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 2560.92 | 2560.92 | 2430.64 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.12 | 4.68 | 5.12 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 41.0 | 41.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 45.0 | 48.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 38.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.402 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.91 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.382 | 1.592 | 1.172 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 49442.4 | 494.42 | 32441.12 | 324.41 | 17001.27 | 170.01 |
Gross Profit | 291140.24 | 2911.4 | 151338.85 | 1513.39 | 139801.39 | 1398.01 |
Gross Loss | 241697.85 | 2416.98 | 118897.73 | 1188.98 | 122800.12 | 1228.0 |
Commission Paid | 12197.07 | 6538.14 | 5658.93 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 112578.85 | 1125.79 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 73688.06 | 88.22 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 20169.4 | 44.1 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 412.0 | 223.0 | 189.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 184.0 | 105.0 | 79.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 228.0 | 118.0 | 110.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.66 | 47.09 | 41.8 | |||
Avg P&l | 120.01 | 0.42 | 145.48 | 0.5 | 89.95 | 0.32 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1582.28 | 4.49 | 1441.32 | 4.1 | 1769.64 | 5.0 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1060.08 | 2.86 | 1007.61 | 2.69 | 1116.36 | 3.04 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.493 | 1.43 | 1.585 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 6540.34 | 5431.57 | 6540.34 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.74 | 7.73 | 7.74 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 4374.49 | 3578.03 | 4374.49 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.12 | 4.68 | 5.12 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 40.0 | 41.0 | 40.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 43.0 | 47.0 | 38.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 38.0 | 35.0 | 41.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.339 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.751 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.205 | 1.273 | 1.138 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
TradingView Screenshots
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest