🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e5b294b7]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA BTCUSDT 1H
@ETYKiAL
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 24 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-07 01:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.85
- Sortino Ratio: 3.29
- Calmar: -7.37
- Longest DD Days: 31.00
- Volatility: 68.17
- Skew: -0.92
- Kurtosis: 0.09
- Expected Daily: 2.24
- Expected Monthly: 59.37
- Expected Yearly: 26,748.06
- Kelly Criterion: 23.91
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.43
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.36
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-03 22:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 30
- Number Winning Trades 208
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 60
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.37
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.45
- Payoff Ratio: 0.42
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.45
- Tail Ratio: 1.11
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.56
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 3,443.68
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 33,363.87 |
Buy & Hold Return | 863.97% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.908 |
Sortino Ratio | 3.818 |
Profit Factor | 1.549 |
Maximum Drawdown | 28.24% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 67.22% |
Percent Profitable | 79.07% |
The strategy showcases a solid performance with a net profit of 33,363.87 and a buy & hold return of 863.97%. Notably, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.908 is above the threshold of 0.5, indicating good risk-adjusted returns. The Sortino Ratio of 3.818 further emphasizes the strategy's ability to manage downside risk effectively. The maximum drawdown is within acceptable limits at 28.24%, suggesting robust downside protection.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. With a high profit factor of 1.549 and a strong percentage of profitable trades (79.07%), the strategy demonstrates the capacity to generate consistent returns. Its resilience during varying market conditions suggests that it can adapt to changing environments, enhancing its long-term viability.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management approach is commendable, as evidenced by a significant reduction in drawdowns and a high gain/pain ratio of 1.6. Nonetheless, the annualized volatility of 67.22% indicates potential areas for enhancement. Consider the following measures to improve risk management:
- Optimize leverage usage to reduce maximum drawdown while preserving profitability.
- Implement tighter stop-loss mechanisms to protect against unexpected market downturns.
- Adopt dynamic position sizing based on market volatility to adjust risk exposure effectively.
Improvement Suggestions
To further bolster the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Engage in parameter optimization to balance risk and return more effectively, potentially lowering drawdowns further.
- Integrate a wider set of technical and fundamental indicators to enhance trade decision-making processes.
- Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing and forward simulation to ensure resilience in diverse market conditions.
- Introduce advanced risk assessment strategies like Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis for a comprehensive risk overview.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates robust performance with favorable risk-adjusted metrics and a commendable drawdown level, aligning well with industry standards. The strategy shows potential for continued success with some optimization regarding risk management techniques.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization. Implement suggested improvements to enhance the strategy's robustness and adopt a more proactive risk management framework to better handle volatility in the crypto market. The promising Sharpe Ratio and manageable drawdown levels provide a strong foundation for future success.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 15.61% | 14.00% | -5.29% | -0.33% | -4.43% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 20.68% | 18.37% | 24.23% | 10.57% | 1.43% | 12.62% | -0.70% | 7.57% | -0.46% | 19.24% | 7.97% | -9.82% |
2022 | 0.00% | 26.25% | 17.24% | 6.85% | 0.00% | 9.57% | 9.92% | 22.49% | 29.96% | 17.03% | 13.68% | 13.42% |
2021 | 39.38% | 39.70% | 7.08% | 19.96% | 20.85% | 15.99% | 5.14% | 13.89% | -8.50% | 21.92% | 26.14% | 6.34% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.80% | 8.96% | -1.62% | 13.83% | 7.27% | 12.49% | 14.53% | -7.45% | 21.70% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
81
Number of Trades
15.02%
Cumulative Returns
58.02%
Win Rate
2023-12-05
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
6.79%
30 Days
-12.99%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 28,872,246.11 USD | 28,872.25 | 18,661,080.04 USD | 18,661.08 | 10,211,166.07 USD | 10,211.17 |
Gross Profit | 38,215,353.49 | 38,215.35 | 22,799,744.94 | 22,799.74 | 15,415,608.55 | 15,415.61 |
Gross Loss | 9,343,107.38 | 9,343.11 | 4,138,664.90 | 4,138.66 | 5,204,442.48 | 5,204.44 |
Max Run-up | 28,872,345.79 | 99.66 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,227,364.74 | 15.83 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 492,793.54 | 492.79 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.177 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 9.51 | |||||
Profit Factor | 4.09 | 5.509 | 2.962 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 2,279 | 2,116 | 2,279 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 2,516,886.16 | 1,375,544.78 | 1,141,341.38 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 187 | 95 | 92 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 161 | 90 | 71 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 26 | 5 | 21 | |||
Percent Profitable | 86.10 | 94.74 | 77.17 | |||
Avg Trade | 154,397.04 | 1.24 | 196,432.42 | 1.42 | 110,990.94 | 1.07 |
Avg Winning Trade | 237,362.44 | 1.76 | 253,330.50 | 1.62 | 217,121.25 | 1.94 |
Avg Losing Trade | 359,350.28 | 1.94 | 827,732.98 | 2.17 | 247,830.59 | 1.88 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.661 | 0.306 | 0.876 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1,486,709.25 | 6.17 | 1,486,709.25 | 2.92 | 1,130,684.32 | 6.17 |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,196,930.37 | 3.19 | 1,196,930.37 | 3.14 | 777,373.46 | 3.19 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 13 | 12 | 13 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 9 | 10 | 9 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 30,530,992.11 USD | 30,530.99 | 24,042,668.35 USD | 24,042.67 | 6,488,323.75 USD | 6,488.32 |
Gross Profit | 100,130,095.70 | 100,130.10 | 49,721,207.74 | 49,721.21 | 50,408,887.96 | 50,408.89 |
Gross Loss | 69,599,103.59 | 69,599.10 | 25,678,539.39 | 25,678.54 | 43,920,564.21 | 43,920.56 |
Max Run-up | 44,544,533.02 | 99.78 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 14,730,167.73 | 34.34 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,283,285.28 | 1,283.29 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.851 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.291 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.439 | 1.936 | 1.148 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 2,279 | 2,116 | 2,279 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 7,818,121.23 | 3,388,479.48 | 4,429,641.75 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 268 | 126 | 142 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 208 | 110 | 98 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 60 | 16 | 44 | |||
Percent Profitable | 77.61 | 87.30 | 69.01 | |||
Avg Trade | 113,921.61 | 0.89 | 190,814.83 | 1.14 | 45,692.42 | 0.67 |
Avg Winning Trade | 481,394.69 | 1.73 | 452,010.98 | 1.63 | 514,376.41 | 1.84 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1,159,985.06 | 2.01 | 1,604,908.71 | 2.24 | 998,194.64 | 1.93 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.415 | 0.282 | 0.515 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2,949,035.36 | 6.17 | 1,891,916.71 | 2.92 | 2,949,035.36 | 6.17 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,193,964.46 | 3.44 | 2,822,352.16 | 3.22 | 3,193,964.46 | 3.44 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 13 | 14 | 12 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 15 | 27 | 11 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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