🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e74c0d42]
🛡️ MCGINLEY MATICUSDT 30MIN @zagzag77
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 11 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-09 05:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
- Sortino Ratio: 1.69
- Calmar: -1.45
- Longest DD Days: 40.00
- Volatility: 0.79
- Skew: 0.75
- Kurtosis: 426,654.02
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.12
- Expected Yearly: 1.51
- Kelly Criterion: 12.81
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.08
- Last Trade Date: 2024-08-28 16:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 134
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 172
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.45
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.41
- Payoff Ratio: 1.78
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.41
- Tail Ratio: 1.44
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.66
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.21
- Recovery Factor: 4.91
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 3.58
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, several performance metrics provide insights into the strategy's effectiveness and areas for attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 384.35% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.549 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.69 |
Profit Factor | 1.366 |
Maximum Drawdown | -17.18% |
The strategy achieves a notable net profit of 384.35% with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.549, indicating good risk-adjusted returns, especially in the cryptocurrency domain. The maximum drawdown of -17.18% is within a manageable range, showcasing solid downside protection. The Profit Factor of 1.366 suggests that the strategy generates more profits than losses, albeit with some room for improvement.
Strategy Viability
This strategy displays promising results under current trading conditions and appears viable for real-world application. Its Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 is a positive indicator, aligning with the benchmarks for good performance in the crypto market. However, the market conditions that favor this strategy should be analyzed further to ensure continued effectiveness amidst market shifts.
Risk Management
The strategy demonstrates reasonable risk management, as evidenced by the low maximum drawdown and no margin calls. However, there are opportunities to enhance risk management further:
- Implement asset allocation adjustments and dynamic position sizing to reduce exposure under volatile conditions.
- Consider employing advanced stop-loss strategies to minimize potential losses.
- Conduct scenario analysis to assess and mitigate extreme risks efficiently.
Improvement Suggestions
To refine and bolster the strategy's performance, consider these actionable recommendations:
- Optimize entry and exit parameters to maximize profitability while curbing risks.
- Integrate a broader variety of technical indicators to improve the decision-making process.
- Conduct further out-of-sample testing to assess robustness under differing market scenarios.
- Explore reducing leverage usage to mitigate the risk of significant drawdowns further.
Final Opinion
The strategy performs well with excellent returns and reasonable risk metrics, affirming its potential viability in the cryptocurrency market. Despite the substantial returns, the strategy would benefit from optimizations that enhance its risk-return profile and adaptability to different market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and rigorous testing. Implement enhancements to solidify robustness and optimize risk management practices to thrive in various market environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -0.57% | -0.63% | 3.11% | 4.60% | 0.04% | -1.61% | -5.54% | -2.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | -1.82% | 17.58% | -4.29% | 4.62% | -8.78% | 14.30% | 7.89% | 10.24% | 0.22% | 6.01% | -3.39% | 5.38% |
2022 | 8.65% | 15.33% | -8.64% | 7.51% | 3.29% | 1.16% | 14.59% | 1.05% | 4.45% | 20.91% | 21.44% | -2.95% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.15% | 6.10% | 14.01% | -0.34% | 3.82% | 5.13% |
Live Trades Stats
MATIC
Base Currency
70
Number of Trades
2.67%
Cumulative Returns
40%
Win Rate
2023-11-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
0%
60 Days
0%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,828.92 USD | 383.42 | 843.39 USD | 176.81 | 985.53 USD | 206.61 |
Gross Profit | 4,901.68 | 1,027.61 | 2,644.92 | 554.49 | 2,256.77 | 473.12 |
Gross Loss | 3,072.76 | 644.19 | 1,801.53 | 377.68 | 1,271.24 | 266.51 |
Max Run-up | 2,028.74 | 80.97 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 280.26 | 17.18 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −94.17 | −19.74 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.681 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.153 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.595 | 1.468 | 1.775 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 8,097 | 8,097 | 7,324 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 230.35 | 125.81 | 104.54 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 236 | 108 | 128 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 106 | 45 | 61 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 130 | 63 | 67 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.92 | 41.67 | 47.66 | |||
Avg Trade | 7.75 | 0.68 | 7.81 | 0.69 | 7.70 | 0.67 |
Avg Winning Trade | 46.24 | 4.64 | 58.78 | 5.08 | 37.00 | 4.31 |
Avg Losing Trade | 23.64 | 2.55 | 28.60 | 2.44 | 18.97 | 2.65 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.956 | 2.055 | 1.95 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 176.07 | 20.16 | 159.39 | 11.45 | 176.07 | 20.16 |
Largest Losing Trade | 115.36 | 18.14 | 115.36 | 7.71 | 66.80 | 18.14 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 23 | 25 | 22 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 23 | 28 | 20 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 23 | 23 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,833.35 USD | 384.35 | 432.71 USD | 90.71 | 1,400.64 USD | 293.64 |
Gross Profit | 6,839.33 | 1,433.82 | 3,257.67 | 682.95 | 3,581.66 | 750.87 |
Gross Loss | 5,005.98 | 1,049.47 | 2,824.96 | 592.23 | 2,181.02 | 457.24 |
Max Run-up | 2,327.10 | 82.99 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 430.53 | 17.18 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −309.46 | −64.88 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.549 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.69 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.366 | 1.153 | 1.642 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 10,474 | 10,474 | 9,303 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 369.81 | 196.04 | 173.77 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 306 | 136 | 170 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 134 | 53 | 81 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 172 | 83 | 89 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.79 | 38.97 | 47.65 | |||
Avg Trade | 5.99 | 0.53 | 3.18 | 0.48 | 8.24 | 0.58 |
Avg Winning Trade | 51.04 | 4.40 | 61.47 | 4.74 | 44.22 | 4.17 |
Avg Losing Trade | 29.10 | 2.48 | 34.04 | 2.25 | 24.51 | 2.70 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.754 | 1.806 | 1.804 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 176.07 | 20.16 | 167.59 | 11.45 | 176.07 | 20.16 |
Largest Losing Trade | 130.57 | 18.14 | 115.36 | 7.71 | 130.57 | 18.14 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 23 | 25 | 21 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 23 | 28 | 20 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 23 | 22 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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