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mcginley maticusdt 30min

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🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e74c0d42]

🛡️ MCGINLEY MATICUSDT 30MIN @zagzag77

TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes

by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 11 minutes ago

384.35%

Net Profit

43.79%

Win Rate

306

Total Closed Trades

1.366

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

0.93000000000001% 🚀

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-07-09 05:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.69
  • Calmar: -1.45
  • Longest DD Days: 40.00
  • Volatility: 0.79
  • Skew: 0.75
  • Kurtosis: 426,654.02
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.12
  • Expected Yearly: 1.51
  • Kelly Criterion: 12.81
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.08
  • Last Trade Date: 2024-08-28 16:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 134
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 172
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.45
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.41
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.78
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.41
  • Tail Ratio: 1.44
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.66
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.21
  • Recovery Factor: 4.91
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 3.58

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, several performance metrics provide insights into the strategy's effectiveness and areas for attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 384.35%
Sharpe Ratio 0.549
Sortino Ratio 1.69
Profit Factor 1.366
Maximum Drawdown -17.18%

The strategy achieves a notable net profit of 384.35% with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.549, indicating good risk-adjusted returns, especially in the cryptocurrency domain. The maximum drawdown of -17.18% is within a manageable range, showcasing solid downside protection. The Profit Factor of 1.366 suggests that the strategy generates more profits than losses, albeit with some room for improvement.

Strategy Viability

This strategy displays promising results under current trading conditions and appears viable for real-world application. Its Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 is a positive indicator, aligning with the benchmarks for good performance in the crypto market. However, the market conditions that favor this strategy should be analyzed further to ensure continued effectiveness amidst market shifts.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates reasonable risk management, as evidenced by the low maximum drawdown and no margin calls. However, there are opportunities to enhance risk management further:

  • Implement asset allocation adjustments and dynamic position sizing to reduce exposure under volatile conditions.
  • Consider employing advanced stop-loss strategies to minimize potential losses.
  • Conduct scenario analysis to assess and mitigate extreme risks efficiently.

Improvement Suggestions

To refine and bolster the strategy's performance, consider these actionable recommendations:

  • Optimize entry and exit parameters to maximize profitability while curbing risks.
  • Integrate a broader variety of technical indicators to improve the decision-making process.
  • Conduct further out-of-sample testing to assess robustness under differing market scenarios.
  • Explore reducing leverage usage to mitigate the risk of significant drawdowns further.

Final Opinion

The strategy performs well with excellent returns and reasonable risk metrics, affirming its potential viability in the cryptocurrency market. Despite the substantial returns, the strategy would benefit from optimizations that enhance its risk-return profile and adaptability to different market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and rigorous testing. Implement enhancements to solidify robustness and optimize risk management practices to thrive in various market environments.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024-0.57%-0.63%3.11%4.60%0.04%-1.61%-5.54%-2.14%0.00%0.00%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2023-1.82%17.58%-4.29%4.62%-8.78%14.30%7.89%10.24%0.22%6.01%-3.39%5.38%
20228.65%15.33%-8.64%7.51%3.29%1.16%14.59%1.05%4.45%20.91%21.44%-2.95%
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%13.15%6.10%14.01%-0.34%3.82%5.13%

Live Trades Stats

MATIC

Base Currency

70

Number of Trades

2.67%

Cumulative Returns

40%

Win Rate

2023-11-14

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Net Profit1,828.92 USD383.42843.39 USD176.81985.53 USD206.61
Gross Profit4,901.681,027.612,644.92554.492,256.77473.12
Gross Loss3,072.76644.191,801.53377.681,271.24266.51
Max Run-up2,028.7480.97
Max Drawdown280.2617.18
Buy & Hold Return−94.17−19.74
Sharpe Ratio0.681
Sortino Ratio2.153
Profit Factor1.5951.4681.775
Max Contracts Held8,0978,0977,324
Open PL00.00
Commission Paid230.35125.81104.54
Total Closed Trades236108128
Total Open Trades000
Number Winning Trades1064561
Number Losing Trades1306367
Percent Profitable44.9241.6747.66
Avg Trade7.750.687.810.697.700.67
Avg Winning Trade46.244.6458.785.0837.004.31
Avg Losing Trade23.642.5528.602.4418.972.65
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.9562.0551.95
Largest Winning Trade176.0720.16159.3911.45176.0720.16
Largest Losing Trade115.3618.14115.367.7166.8018.14
Avg # Bars in Trades232522
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades232820
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades232323
Margin Calls000
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Net Profit1,833.35 USD384.35432.71 USD90.711,400.64 USD293.64
Gross Profit6,839.331,433.823,257.67682.953,581.66750.87
Gross Loss5,005.981,049.472,824.96592.232,181.02457.24
Max Run-up2,327.1082.99
Max Drawdown430.5317.18
Buy & Hold Return−309.46−64.88
Sharpe Ratio0.549
Sortino Ratio1.69
Profit Factor1.3661.1531.642
Max Contracts Held10,47410,4749,303
Open PL00.00
Commission Paid369.81196.04173.77
Total Closed Trades306136170
Total Open Trades000
Number Winning Trades1345381
Number Losing Trades1728389
Percent Profitable43.7938.9747.65
Avg Trade5.990.533.180.488.240.58
Avg Winning Trade51.044.4061.474.7444.224.17
Avg Losing Trade29.102.4834.042.2524.512.70
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7541.8061.804
Largest Winning Trade176.0720.16167.5911.45176.0720.16
Largest Losing Trade130.5718.14115.367.71130.5718.14
Avg # Bars in Trades232521
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades232820
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades232322
Margin Calls000

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
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