THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2e505093]
🛡️ THE DEADZONE BTC 15MIN
@0xZokiii
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-28 04:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
- Sortino Ratio: 1.63
- Calmar: -1.04
- Longest DD Days: 152.00
- Volatility: 89.49
- Skew: 1.01
- Kurtosis: 5.44
- Expected Daily: 0.46
- Expected Monthly: 10.11
- Expected Yearly: 217.69
- Kelly Criterion: 5.52
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.75
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -12.09
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-05 23:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 308
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 384
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.04
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.14
- Payoff Ratio: 1.42
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.14
- Tail Ratio: 1.69
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.58
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.94
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.13
- Serenity Index: 10.80
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 665,919.16 |
Gross Profit | 5,585,452.20 |
Gross Loss | 4,919,533.04 |
Max Drawdown | 95.75% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.481 |
Profit Factor | 1.135 |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 56.36% |
The strategy achieves a substantial net profit of 665,919.16, and an annualized return of 56.36%. However, the Sharpe Ratio at 0.481 is slightly below the desired threshold of 0.5, suggesting an area for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.135 indicates moderate profitability, which can be further optimized.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, the strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading, especially considering its net profitability. However, the considerable maximum drawdown of 95.75% raises a significant concern that requires addressing. This high drawdown implies that the strategy is highly leveraged and susceptible to large capital erosion in adverse market conditions.
Risk Management
Current risk management strategies might not be sufficient, as indicated by the high maximum drawdown. Suggestions for risk management enhancement include:
- Reducing leverage to decrease maximum drawdown and increase capital robustness.
- Incorporating stricter stop-loss mechanisms to mitigate large losses.
- Exploring hedging strategies to cushion against significant market movements.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the effectiveness and resilience of this trading strategy, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize leverage levels to align drawdowns with acceptable levels, ideally below 40%.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators or machine learning models to refine entry and exit signals.
- Conduct thorough stress tests under various market conditions to ensure robustness.
- Perform a sensitivity analysis to understand which parameters most impact performance and adjust them accordingly.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows strong net profitability, but there are evident opportunities for optimization, especially in risk management. The high drawdown is a critical weakness, yet this can be managed with strategic leverage adjustments and more robust risk protocols.
Recommendation: Continue to refine and test the strategy, focusing on reducing drawdowns through appropriate leverage settings and enhanced risk management techniques. With these adjustments, the strategy holds considerable promise for real-world application.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 125.39% | 134.10% | -45.72% | 41.29% | 60.51% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 82.55% | 21.14% | 31.68% | 12.35% | 16.69% | 77.04% | -5.10% | 47.98% | -28.87% | 24.73% | -51.09% | 47.65% |
2022 | 62.73% | 83.07% | -20.05% | 56.91% | -64.80% | 135.16% | 79.12% | 14.98% | 110.51% | 9.50% | 3.22% | -10.84% |
2021 | -20.92% | -33.57% | 9.87% | 57.72% | -161.33% | 1.37% | 128.84% | -9.64% | 75.49% | -5.94% | 120.58% | 39.77% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.60% | 101.96% | 80.97% | 60.20% | 6.69% | -64.22% | 20.30% | 43.08% | 23.79% | 61.83% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
99
Number of Trades
104.06%
Cumulative Returns
41.41%
Win Rate
2024-02-27
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.72%
30 Days
9.38%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 660,663.48 USD | 660,663.48 | 591,237.62 USD | 591,237.62 | 69,425.86 USD | 69,425.86 |
Gross Profit | 1,330,272.51 | 1,330,272.51 | 888,184.81 | 888,184.81 | 442,087.70 | 442,087.70 |
Gross Loss | 669,609.03 | 669,609.03 | 296,947.19 | 296,947.19 | 372,661.84 | 372,661.84 |
Max Run-up | 704,188.01 | 99.99 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 77,438.61 | 95.75 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 760.11 | 760.11 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.849 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.987 | 2.991 | 1.186 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 96 | 96 | 90 | |||
Open PL | 11,113.89 | 1.68 | ||||
Commission Paid | 109,371.56 | 57,084.35 | 52,287.21 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 593 | 261 | 332 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 267 | 138 | 129 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 326 | 123 | 203 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.03 | 52.87 | 38.86 | |||
Avg Trade | 1,114.10 | 0.30 | 2,265.28 | 0.49 | 209.11 | 0.15 |
Avg Winning Trade | 4,982.29 | 1.98 | 6,436.12 | 1.88 | 3,427.04 | 2.10 |
Avg Losing Trade | 2,054.02 | 1.08 | 2,414.20 | 1.07 | 1,835.77 | 1.09 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.426 | 2.666 | 1.867 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 101,932.17 | 8.77 | 101,932.17 | 2.67 | 56,328.55 | 8.77 |
Largest Losing Trade | 35,288.54 | 4.75 | 24,662.45 | 4.75 | 35,288.54 | 4.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 22 | 19 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 23 | 22 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 18 | 21 | 16 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 724,302.10 USD | 724,302.10 | 1,012,177.39 USD | 1,012,177.39 | −287,875.29 USD | −287,875.29 |
Gross Profit | 6,404,355.68 | 6,404,355.68 | 2,786,545.73 | 2,786,545.73 | 3,617,809.95 | 3,617,809.95 |
Gross Loss | 5,680,053.59 | 5,680,053.59 | 1,774,368.35 | 1,774,368.35 | 3,905,685.24 | 3,905,685.24 |
Max Run-up | 1,786,982.10 | 100.00 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 876,129.26 | 95.75 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,432.10 | 1,432.10 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.475 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.627 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.128 | 1.57 | 0.926 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 254 | 144 | 254 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 701,348.28 | 251,017.99 | 450,330.29 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 692 | 299 | 393 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 308 | 155 | 153 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 384 | 144 | 240 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.51 | 51.84 | 38.93 | |||
Avg Trade | 1,046.68 | 0.28 | 3,385.21 | 0.47 | −732.51 | 0.13 |
Avg Winning Trade | 20,793.36 | 1.97 | 17,977.71 | 1.88 | 23,645.82 | 2.06 |
Avg Losing Trade | 14,791.81 | 1.08 | 12,322.00 | 1.06 | 16,273.69 | 1.09 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.406 | 1.459 | 1.453 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 390,552.26 | 8.77 | 166,841.24 | 2.67 | 390,552.26 | 8.77 |
Largest Losing Trade | 246,518.67 | 4.75 | 226,173.30 | 4.75 | 246,518.67 | 4.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 22 | 19 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 24 | 23 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 18 | 22 | 15 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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