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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
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THE DEADZONE BTC 15MIN

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @0xZokiii
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2e505093]

🛡️ THE DEADZONE BTC 15MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 27, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +9.5% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
77238.2%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
42.6%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.011
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-583425.28%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
770
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Mar 28, 2020
1,935
Days
770
Trades
Last Trade
Jul 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-03-28 04:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.21
  • Calmar: -0.12
  • Longest DD Days: 152.00
  • Volatility: 95.38
  • Skew: 0.91
  • Kurtosis: 4.15
  • Expected Daily: 0.25
  • Expected Monthly: 5.34
  • Expected Yearly: 86.72
  • Kelly Criterion: 0.53
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.96
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -12.67
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-07-11 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 328
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 442
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.12
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.01
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.36
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.01
  • Tail Ratio: 1.58
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.17
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.41
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.28
  • Serenity Index: 0.10

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%9.60%101.96%80.97%60.20%6.69%-64.22%20.30%43.08%23.79%61.83%
2021-20.92%-33.57%9.87%57.72%-161.33%1.37%128.84%-9.64%75.49%-5.94%120.58%39.77%
202262.73%83.07%-20.05%56.91%-64.80%135.16%79.12%14.98%110.51%9.50%3.22%-10.84%
202382.55%21.14%31.68%12.35%16.69%77.04%-5.10%47.98%-28.87%24.73%-51.09%47.65%
2024125.39%134.10%-45.72%41.29%60.51%-0.64%16.60%-32.57%10.62%-17.83%53.88%-74.02%
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

178

Number of Trades

-70.2%

Cumulative Returns

34.27%

Win Rate

2024-02-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-31.04%

30 Days

31.96%

60 Days

-107.11%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l11113.891.68
Net Profit660663.48660663.48591237.62591237.6269425.8669425.86
Gross Profit1330272.511330272.51888184.81888184.81442087.7442087.7
Gross Loss669609.03669609.03296947.19296947.19372661.84372661.84
Commission Paid109371.5657084.3552287.21
Buy & Hold Return760.11760.11
Max Equity Run-up704188.0199.99
Max Drawdown77438.6195.75
Max Contracts Held96.096.090.0
Total Closed Trades593.0261.0332.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades267.0138.0129.0
Number Losing Trades326.0123.0203.0
Percent Profitable45.0352.8738.86
Avg P&l1114.10.32265.280.49209.110.15
Avg Winning Trade4982.291.986436.121.883427.042.1
Avg Losing Trade2054.021.082414.21.071835.771.09
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.4262.6661.867
Largest Winning Trade101932.17101932.1756328.55
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.772.678.77
Largest Losing Trade35288.5424662.4535288.54
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.754.754.37
Avg # Bars In Trades20.022.019.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.022.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.021.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.54
Sortino Ratio1.849
Profit Factor1.9872.9911.186
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-2126.89-2.75
Net Profit77238.277238.2770637.57770637.57-693399.37-693399.37
Gross Profit7210537.917210537.912922579.512922579.514287958.44287958.4
Gross Loss7133299.717133299.712151941.942151941.944981357.774981357.77
Commission Paid842977.09288516.16554460.93
Buy & Hold Return1723.291723.29
Max Equity Run-up1786982.1100.0
Max Drawdown1409933.3595.75
Max Contracts Held254.0144.0254.0
Total Closed Trades770.0325.0445.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades328.0161.0167.0
Number Losing Trades442.0164.0278.0
Percent Profitable42.649.5437.53
Avg P&l100.310.222371.190.41-1558.20.09
Avg Winning Trade21983.351.9518152.671.8725676.42.04
Avg Losing Trade16138.691.0613121.61.0317918.551.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3621.3831.433
Largest Winning Trade390552.26166841.24390552.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.772.678.77
Largest Losing Trade246518.67226173.3246518.67
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.754.754.37
Avg # Bars In Trades20.022.019.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.023.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.022.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.397
Sortino Ratio1.205
Profit Factor1.0111.3580.861
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, a detailed examination of key performance metrics reveals several insights:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return Not explicitly provided, but shows net profit of 77238.2
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 11.14%
Sharpe Ratio 0.397
Profit Factor 1.011
Maximum Drawdown 95.75%
Volatility (Annualized) 95.38%

The strategy's cumulative profitability is positive with a net profit of 77238.2, suggesting that it has potential under certain conditions. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.397 indicates room for improvement as it falls short of the 0.5 benchmark, though not drastically. The Profit Factor is marginally above 1, which shows that profits are just exceeding losses but need improvement. Crucially, the maximum drawdown of 95.75% is significantly high, suggesting substantial risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

Considering the data presented, the strategy's viability for real-world trading is conditional and cautionary. The high maximum drawdown is particularly concerning and indicates periods of high loss. While the annualized return of 11.14% presents appeal, the high drawdowns and moderate risk-adjusted returns highlight the need for adaptation to changing market conditions and better risk management to remain viable.

Risk Management

Risk management appears to be a critical area needing enhancement given the significant drawdown. Current practices could be strengthened in the following ways:

  • Reducing leverage usage to mitigate the depth of maximum drawdowns.
  • Incorporating tighter stop-loss mechanisms to limit losses on losing trades.
  • Adapting position sizing based on market volatility to manage risk exposure dynamically.

Improvement Suggestions

For enhancing the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy parameters to achieve a better balance between returns and drawdowns.
  • Employ a broader range of indicators for more informed decision-making around trade entry and exit points.
  • Conduct stress testing to ensure robustness under different market conditions and minimize risk of high drawdowns.
  • Explore additional risk management techniques such as diversification of assets to spread risk.
  • Consider leveraging machine learning algorithms for predictive insights and timely adjustments.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates a degree of profitability, it is coupled with high volatility and significant drawdowns, indicating room for substantial improvement. The strategy's strength lies in its potential for positive returns, but its weakness in managing risk must be addressed for longer-term success.

Recommendation: It is advisable to undertake further testing and optimization of the strategy. Focus on enhancing risk management protocols and stabilizing returns to foster greater robustness against market volatility. Implement the suggested improvements to refine the strategy before considering real-world deployment.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

Open Live ChartView on TradingView

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