THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [03fa2f75]
🛡️ THE DEADZONE BTCUSDT 1H @arjandoxd
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-06 19:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
- Sortino Ratio: 0.87
- Calmar: -0.47
- Longest DD Days: 241.00
- Volatility: 0.65
- Skew: -1.71
- Kurtosis: 5.05
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.06
- Expected Yearly: 0.76
- Kelly Criterion: 12.78
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.08
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.12
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-17 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 29
- Number Winning Trades 719
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 300
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.47
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
- Payoff Ratio: 0.51
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
- Tail Ratio: 0.70
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.60
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.65
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 2.22
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics provide insightful details about the strategy's current state:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit | 309.43% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 0.61% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.332 |
Profit Factor | 1.219 |
Maximum Drawdown | 29.09% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 65% |
Percent Profitable | 70.56% |
The strategy has achieved a cumulative profit of 309.43% with a respectable profitability rate of 70.56%. However, the Sharpe Ratio at 0.332 indicates suboptimal risk-adjusted returns. A maximum drawdown of 29.09% is within acceptable levels, though slightly high for comfort, given the volatility of 65%.
Strategy Viability
Based on the current metrics, the strategy is reasonably viable for trading, particularly in conditions akin to those observed during the backtest. It maintains a profit factor of 1.219 and a strong win rate, allowing it to outperform a neutral trading line. Improvements in the risk-adjusted return are necessary for long-term success, particularly if market conditions fluctuate.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management could benefit from enhancements to reduce the volatility and improve the overall efficiency of the strategy. The gain/pain ratio of 1.22 and a confirmed maximum drawdown strategy below 40% offer opportunities for further refinement:
- Reevaluate leverage usage to reduce volatility and ensure losses are better controlled.
- Implement trailing stop-loss mechanisms to protect accumulated profits while allowing room for potential reversals.
- Consider diversification across various crypto assets to mitigate risk specific to any single asset.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster strategy performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize parameters through a combination of historical analysis and out-of-sample testing.
- Explore additional technical indicators or machine learning techniques to better capture market nuances.
- Integrate adaptive trading algorithms that optimize entries and exits based on real-time market data.
- Conduct stress testing under varying market conditions to verify robustness across different scenarios.
Final Opinion
The strategy shows promise with its high profitability rate and acceptable drawdown levels. However, the low Sharpe Ratio and volatility necessitate strategic enhancements to improve long-term risk-adjusted returns and manage volatility better.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and refinement of the strategy. Special attention should be directed towards optimizing risk management and refining the strategy parameters for more robust performance across varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.99% | 3.57% | -7.78% | 5.83% | -6.28% | -6.85% | 8.11% | 4.31% | 13.25% |
2021 | 9.39% | 4.88% | -1.57% | 2.27% | -3.25% | 0.66% | 2.21% | -7.37% | -1.49% | 13.51% | -0.33% | -0.96% |
2022 | -4.13% | 17.12% | 5.26% | 1.73% | 3.36% | -4.22% | 12.66% | 2.01% | -1.33% | 10.15% | 2.14% | -1.46% |
2023 | 10.48% | 1.34% | 4.11% | -2.58% | 2.44% | 11.22% | -6.13% | 1.13% | -1.24% | 21.95% | 1.13% | 1.74% |
2024 | 3.45% | 12.13% | -5.78% | -5.09% | 3.17% | -0.78% | -3.07% | -7.26% | -0.23% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
250
Number of Trades
-1.28%
Cumulative Returns
64.8%
Win Rate
2024-02-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-2.33%
30 Days
5.24%
60 Days
6.77%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 3264.55 | 326.46 | 3264.55 | 326.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 11123.21 | 1112.32 | 11123.21 | 1112.32 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 7858.66 | 785.87 | 7858.66 | 785.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 711.59 | 711.59 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 6344.05 | 634.41 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3472.44 | 77.64 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 471.21 | 22.38 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 770.0 | 770.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 558.0 | 558.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 212.0 | 212.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 72.47 | 72.47 | ||||
Avg P&l | 4.24 | 1.38 | 4.24 | 1.38 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 19.93 | 2.6 | 19.93 | 2.6 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 37.07 | 1.85 | 37.07 | 1.85 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.538 | 0.538 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 134.5 | 134.5 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.45 | 5.45 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 281.63 | 281.63 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.65 | 6.65 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 18.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.425 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.226 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.415 | 1.415 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 2.65 | 0.06 | ||||
Net Profit | 3094.33 | 309.43 | 3094.33 | 309.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 17194.04 | 1719.4 | 17194.04 | 1719.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 14099.7 | 1409.97 | 14099.7 | 1409.97 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 1188.57 | 1188.57 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 10860.82 | 1086.08 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3720.17 | 78.82 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1369.09 | 29.09 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1019.0 | 1019.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 719.0 | 719.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 300.0 | 300.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 70.56 | 70.56 | ||||
Avg P&l | 3.04 | 1.28 | 3.04 | 1.28 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 23.91 | 2.58 | 23.91 | 2.58 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 47.0 | 1.84 | 47.0 | 1.84 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.509 | 0.509 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 134.5 | 134.5 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.45 | 5.45 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 281.63 | 281.63 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.65 | 6.65 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 18.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.332 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.866 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.219 | 1.219 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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